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Nothing is forever except change and evolution, in order to handle the changes that come, you have to know where in the cycles we are so you can know the right strategies for dealing with them. Cycles build on each other, repeating over and over, and as we have discussed, they are reactionary. Meaning the actions of one cycle, push the actions of the next.
You need to understand that financial market cycles are influenced by political, cultural , social, and technology cycles. Like winter, spring, summer and fall, the financial market cycles, move in cycles.
Now if you are aware of this phenomenon, you can better prepare your investments to reflect this reality. Understanding this is key to surviving these cycles, especially the bigger cycles or financial revolutions, as I will explain today.
Financial Markets ebb and flow, from bull to bear, and on a larger scale —the wealth of nations, and their time in the spotlight as the superpower of the world, and reserve currency constantly shift. At least when zoomed out over a long enough time frame, it’s not much of a surprise. Better educated people produce better societies that are more innovative, competitive, and productive.
The increased information and education over the last 500 years has shifted wealth and power away from the agrarian economy, where land ownership was the main source of power to an industrial economy, where capitalists that owned production capabilities had power. Now, that shift is happening again, but this time it’s shifting into digital things, like data and information. This is already becoming the most valuable thing and this will drive the markets through the next cycle and will be the new source to gain wealth and power.
We are just now, starting to move much deeper into the most intense phase of the Economic Winter Season. Another 80-year Economic Cycle, and with it comes a once-in-a-lifetime great reset of debt and financial-asset bubbles. The emergence of a whole new economy, just as occurred in the 1930s. Think of the advantages if you could have seen that great reset coming — the sale of a lifetime in financial assets back then!
Today’s Economists, heads of central banks, and governments seem to think that we can just be stable and grow forever — with no volatility, inflation, deflation, and no more recessions. They seem to completely disregard the naturally oscillating dynamics of innovation, and change.
They think “the market” is like a machine that can be built, and controlled. But, it’s not a mechanical machine, it’s a biological, diverse, and complex organism. Because it’s driven by over 7.5 billion people, and their irrational ever-changing wants, needs and desires, they live in a fairy tale world. Never having run a business, or experiencing real life — they are a product of the 4th turning, living on the past success of the generations before them.
It’s the setbacks and the struggles that make us grow. It enables and encourages progress, growth and innovation.
So let’s dig in!
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